CSIORS Ethiopia: Ethiopia's Shifting Conflict Dynamics 2 : How Southern Oromia ... CSIORS Nigeria: Nigeria at a Crossroads: Security, Governance, and Social Cohe... CSIORS Ethiopia: Ethiopia’s New Religious “Wars”: Pentecostal Power, Orthodox R... CSIORS Ethiopia: Between resilience and structural fragility: Ethiopia and Nige... CSIORS Iraq: In Ninewa, Peace Holds but Trust Remains Fragile CSIORS MENA: Africa in the Era of Megaprojects: Hydropower, LNG, and the Ge... CSIORS Ethiopia: Ethiopia's Shifting Conflict Dynamics 2 : How Southern Oromia ... CSIORS Nigeria: Nigeria at a Crossroads: Security, Governance, and Social Cohe... CSIORS Ethiopia: Ethiopia’s New Religious “Wars”: Pentecostal Power, Orthodox R... CSIORS Ethiopia: Between resilience and structural fragility: Ethiopia and Nige... CSIORS Iraq: In Ninewa, Peace Holds but Trust Remains Fragile CSIORS MENA: Africa in the Era of Megaprojects: Hydropower, LNG, and the Ge...
Nigeria at a Crossroads: Security, Governance, and Social Cohesion Ahead of the 2027 Elections
Analysis Nigeria

Nigeria at a Crossroads: Security, Governance, and Social Cohesion Ahead of the 2027 Elections

2026 will decide Nigeria’s future. Without real security and governance reform, the 2027 elections risk accelerating fragmentation instead of democracy.

Jan Záhořík Read analysis →

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Ethiopia’s New Religious “Wars”: Pentecostal Power, Orthodox Resistance, and Abiy’s Theological Politics
Ethiopia Dec 2025

Ethiopia’s New Religious “Wars”: Pentecostal Power, Orthodox Resistance, and Abiy’s Theological Politics

Jan Záhořík and Weldeabrha Niguse Gebreslassie
Between resilience and structural fragility: Ethiopia and Nigeria — two different paths to the same crisis
Ethiopia Nov 2025

Between resilience and structural fragility: Ethiopia and Nigeria — two different paths to the same crisis

Jan Záhořík
In Ninewa, Peace Holds but Trust Remains Fragile
Iraq Oct 2025

In Ninewa, Peace Holds but Trust Remains Fragile

Saywan Ibrahim
Africa in the Era of Megaprojects: Hydropower, LNG, and the Geopolitics of Infrastructure
MENA Oct 2025

Africa in the Era of Megaprojects: Hydropower, LNG, and the Geopolitics of Infrastructure

Jan Záhořík
Opening of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam as part of Ethiopia’s Exceptionalism
Ethiopia Sep 2025

Opening of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam as part of Ethiopia’s Exceptionalism

Jan Záhořík
France’s military departure from Senegal in broader perspective
MENA Aug 2025

France’s military departure from Senegal in broader perspective

Jan Záhořík
Early Warning System

Watchtower

Field data accumulation and signal detection across MENA and the Horn of Africa. Cross-validated with WFP benchmarks for food security monitoring.

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3 Active Regions
19 Field Entries
325 NE Syria respondents
WFP Cross-Validated

CSIORS is an independent research institute producing field-informed analysis across the Middle East, North Africa, and the Horn of Africa. Our anonymous field informant network is currently active in Syria, Nigeria, and Ethiopia, with a 330-submission baseline survey conducted in northeast Syria (November 2025, analytic n=325) documenting pre-transition conditions.

About the institute Our methodology
156 Publications
3 Active Regions
8 Analysts
325 NE Syria respondents
Partners & Affiliations

BRIDGE — Bridge Research and Innovation for Democratic Governance and Enhanced Peace — is an independent, non-profit think tank based in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.